Dar & Company
The Granite Wash:
An Emerging Tight Sands Natural Gas Play in the U.S.
(First published on www.SeekingAlpha.com on January 6, 2010)
In recent weeks, the tight sands play known as the Granite Wash has emerged strongly and credibly. It is both an E&P (mostly “P”) play and a midstream infrastructure opportunity. The weathering of granite over time gives the play its name. It is geographically rather extensive, located in the Northern Texas Panhandle and
At current field prices, the Granite Wash production yields very good rates of return, which is why independent E&P companies are converging on the area. The high liquids content of the gas significantly enhances producer economics. The high initial production (IP) rates help to front load cash throw off which provides a strongly positive bias to the rate of return and makes it better than several popular shale plays. The first year decline rate is reported to be 50 to 60 %( based on very limited production experience) compared with the 80% decline rate experienced with many shale plays. The expected drilling and completion costs range from $5.5 to $6.5 million which, given the anticipated cash flow profile of the wells, is not at all daunting.
At present, only a few independents are spending significant money in the Granite Wash but their population is expected to increase notably in 2010. The majors and mini-majors which usually follow the pioneering independents in both shale and tight sands are likely to enter once the metrics of the play are better established. Among the well known independents are Chesapeake Energy (CHK) and Forest Oil Corp. (FST) (both seem quite enthusiastic about this opportunity and believe it allows them to leverage core operating skills and experience) as well as St. Mary’s Land and Exploration (SM) and Penn Virginia (PVA).
As producer interest in the Granite Wash increases and production becomes significant, midstream investment opportunities naturally emerge. Gas gathering, including low-and mid-pressure gathering, and treatment and processing (because of the high liquids content) services will experience rapid growth. There will also be the need to connect the local systems and plants to high pressure long line transmission systems. Chesapeake Midstream, Frontier Energy, Markwest Energy Partners (MWE) and Eagle Rock Energy Partners (EROC) are already active in the Granite Wash midstream services market. Long distance, high volume, product take away capacity is provided by ONEOK Systems (OKE), Enogex (OGP) and Enterprise Product Partners (EPD).
The Granite Wash play typifies how rapidly and positively the